5 February 2017 - bulletin 55

Updated at 1015 GMT
Latest warning for 04S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Carlos / 04S
Warning 02 from JTWC at 0300 GMT
Position 17.4S 56.6E
Location 167 miles NNW of Port Louis, Mauritius
Movement 135° (SE) at 4 knots
Maximum sustained winds 35 knots gusting to 45 knots
Comparative strength Tropical storm
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 25 to 30 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Mauritius, La Reunion
Maximum significant wave height 12 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 1500 GMT

Carlos will slowly intensify, whilst moving south, later southwest. Towards the end of the five-day forecast period, the system will veer south whilst peaking at 70 knots.

Regional warnings
La Reunion (site in French) is on Yellow Alert
Mauritius is on a Class 1 cyclone warning

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 98W
Position 10.5N 128.4E
Location 500 miles ESE of Manila, Philippines
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now LOW

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