5 February 2017 - bulletin 56

Updated at 1505 GMT
Latest warning for 04S


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Carlos / 04S
Warning 03 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 17.4S 56.6E
Location 157 miles NW of Port Louis, Mauritius
Movement 120° (ESE) at 2 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Comparative strength Tropical storm
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 35 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Mauritius, La Reunion
Maximum significant wave height 16 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Carlos will slowly intensify, whilst moving south, later southwest. Towards the end of the five-day forecast period, the system will veer southeast whilst peaking at 80 knots.

Regional warnings
La Reunion (site in French) is on Yellow Alert
Mauritius is on a Class 2 cyclone warning

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 98W
Position 10.5N 128.4E
Location 500 miles ESE of Manila, Philippines
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now LOW

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