7 February 2017 - bulletin 61

Updated at 1450 GMT
Latest warning for 04S


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Carlos / 04S
Warning 07 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 20.0S 54.4E
Location 175 miles WSW of Port Louis, Mauritius
Movement 240° (WSW) at 10 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Comparative strength Tropical storm
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 45 to 90 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses La Reunion
Maximum significant wave height 15 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Carlos will slowly reintensify, whilst moving southwest. The storm will pass near La Reunion After three days, the system will veer southeast whilst peaking at 70 knots, weakening thereafter.

Regional warnings
The cyclonic alert for La Reunion has been CANCELLED.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT
System 93S
Position 17.9S 122.9E
Location 40 miles E of Broome, Australia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is MEDIUM

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 99W
Position 12.8N 129.8E
Location 420 miles NW of Palau
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW

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