8 February 2017 - bulletin 64

Updated at 1615 GMT
Latest warning for 04S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Carlos / 04S
Warning 09 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 22.5S 52.5E
Location 112 miles WSW of St Denis, La Reunion
Movement 215° (SW) at 6 knots
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots gusting to 50 knots
Comparative strength Tropical storm
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 60 to 90 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum significant wave height 15 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Carlos will slowly reintensify, whilst moving southwest. The storm will pass near La Reunion After day or so, the system will veer southeast whilst peaking at 60 knots, weakening thereafter.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1430 GMT
System 93S
Position 21.8S 118.2E
Location 235 miles E of Learmonth, Australia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now LOW

SOUTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 95P
Position 19.6S 164.5E
Location 190 miles NW of Noumea, New Caledonia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW

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