3 March 2017 - bulletin 106

Updated at 2125 GMT
Latest warning for 09S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Enawo / 09S
Warning 02 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 13.1S 56.3E
Location 424 miles N of Port Louis, Mauritius
Movement 225° (SW) at 3 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Comparative strength Tropical storm
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 65 to 105 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Madagascar
Maximum significant wave height 8 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0900 GMT

Enawo will move southwest and continue to intensify, rapidly. After 3-4 days, the storm will approach the east coast of Madagascar, as it strengthens to 120 knots. The proximity to land will lead to weakening thereafter.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT
System 96S
Position 8.4S 132.6E
Location 280 miles NNE of Darwin, Australia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now MEDIUM

Australian warnings

A tropical cyclone watch is in force from Croker Island to Cape Fourcroy.

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