5 March 2017 - bulletin 110

Updated at 1430 GMT
First warning for 10S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Enawo / 09S
Warning 05 from JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 13.5S 56.1E
Location 402 miles N of Port Louis, Mauritius
Movement 245° (WSW) at 2 knots
Maximum sustained winds 75 knots gusting to 90 knots
Comparative strength HURRICANE
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 155 to 230 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 25 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Madagascar
Maximum significant wave height 26 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Enawo will move southwest and continue to intensify rapidly. After a day or so the storm will approach the east coast of Madagascar, as it strengthens to 110 knots. After landfall, the system will weaken rapidly to dissipate overland.

Tropical cyclone Blanche / 10S
Warning 01 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 13.3S 128.9E
Location 126 miles WSW of Darwin, Australia
Movement 220° (SW) at 6 knots
Maximum sustained winds 35 knots gusting to 45 knots
Comparative strength Tropical storm
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 20 to 25 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Western Australia
Maximum significant wave height 10 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Blanche has formed in the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf, and is expected to make landfall near Wyndham within 12 hours. The system will then dissipate overland.

Australian warnings
Updated at 1320 GMT
A tropical cyclone WARNING is in force from Mitchell Plateau to Dundee Beach, inculding Wadeye.
A tropical cyclone watch is in force from Cockatoo Island to Mitchell Plateau

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1500 GMT
System 96S is now 10S
 
Update from JTWC at 0300 GMT
System 97S
Position 12.4S 81.5E
Location 615 miles ESE of Diego Garcia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW 

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