6 March 2017 - bulletin 112

Updated at 0900 GMT
Latest warnings for 09S and 10S


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Enawo / 09S
Warning 06 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 14.0S 53.8E
Location 399 miles NNW of La Reunion
Movement 270° (W) at 6 knots
Maximum sustained winds 90 knots gusting to 110 knots
Comparative strength HURRICANE
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 155 to 230 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 25 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Madagascar
Maximum significant wave height 30 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Enawo will move west and strengthen to a peak of 100 knots later today. The storm will make landfall in Madagascar within 24 hours and weaken rapidly, whilst veering south. Enawo is expected to reemerge over water, where it could briefly reintensify before adverse conditions prompt its demise. This could just as easily occur over Madagascar.

Tropical cyclone Blanche / 10S
Warning 02 from JTWC at 0300 GMT
Position 14.0S 128.2E
Location 182 miles WSW of Darwin, Australia
Movement 190° (S) at 6 knots
Maximum sustained winds 50 knots gusting to 65 knots
Comparative strength Tropical storm
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 0 to 60 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Western Australia
Maximum significant wave height 12 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Blanche is expected to make landfall near Wyndham within 6 hours. The system will then veer west and reemerge over water, where it is expected to restrengthen.

Australian warnings
Updated at 0720 GMT
A tropical cyclone WARNING is in force from Kalumburu to Wyndham, and adjacent inland areas.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT yesterday
System 97S
Position 12.9S 79.9E
Location 550 miles SE of Diego Garcia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW 

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