6 March 2017 - bulletin 114

Updated at 2115 GMT
Latest warning for 09S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Enawo / 09S
Warning 07 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 14.5S 52.4E
Location 396 miles NNW of La Reunion
Movement 245° (WSW) at 7 knots
Maximum sustained winds 125 knots gusting to 150 knots
Comparative strength HURRICANE
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 155 to 190 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 45 to 60 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Madagascar
Maximum significant wave height 30 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0900 GMT

Enawo will move west and strengthen to a peak of 100 knots later today. The storm will make landfall in Madagascar within 24 hours and weaken rapidly, whilst veering south. Enawo is expected to reemerge over water, where it could briefly reintensify before adverse conditions prompt its demise. This could just as easily occur over Madagascar.

Malagasy warnings
A storm surge is expected to occur in Antongil Bay. It may reach 3-4 metres near Maroantsetra, but closer to 1 metre south of Antalaha and near Antanambe.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT
System 97S
Position 14.8S 76.3E
Location 500 miles SSE of Diego Garcia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now MEDIUM

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