7 March 2017 - bulletin 115

Updated at 0945 GMT
Latest warning for 09S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Enawo / 09S
Warning 07 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 14.6S 50.6E
Location 444 miles NW of La Reunion
Movement 270° (W) at 9 knots
Maximum sustained winds 125 knots gusting to 150 knots
Comparative strength HURRICANE
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 155 to 190 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 40 to 60 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Madagascar
Maximum significant wave height 32 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Enawo will move west and has made landfall in Madagascar. The storm will veer south and rapidly weaken over Madagascar. The system is expected to dissipate within 48 hours. 

Malagasy warnings
A storm surge is expected to occur in Antongil Bay. It may reach 1 metre near Maroantsetra and at Antalaha.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT
System 97S
Position 15.7S 74.9E
Location 515 miles SSE of Diego Garcia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now HIGH

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