7 April 2017 - bulletin 170

Updated at 2115 GMT
Latest warning for 15S
Disturbance updates


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Ernie / 15S
Warning 04 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 16.0S 110.3E
Location 435 miles NNW of Learmonth, Australia
Movement 205° (SSW) at 2 knots
Maximum sustained winds 130 knots gusting to 160 knots
Comparative strength HURRICANE
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 80 to 120 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 20 to 30 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum significant wave height 41 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0900 GMT

Ernie has intensified strongly and will continue move southsouthwest. As the cyclone weakens, it will veer west.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 95P 
Position 12.2S 172.0E
Location 455 miles NW of Nadi, Fiji
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is HIGH

SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN

Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT
System 96P
Position 7.0S 133.6E
Location 365 miles NNE of Darwin, Australia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW

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