9 April 2017 - bulletin 178

Updated at 2110 GMT
Latest warning for 15S
Disturbance update

Tropical cyclone Ernie / 15S
Warning 08 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 18.1S 105.3E
Location 556 miles WNW of Learmonth, Australia
Movement 255° (WSW) at 12 knots
Maximum sustained winds 55 knots gusting to 70 knots
Comparative strength Tropical storm
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 55 to 100 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum significant wave height 20 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0900 GMT

Ernie is weakening and will continue to move southwest as it dissipates shortly.

Tropical cyclone Cook / 16P
Warning 04 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 18.4S 166.7E
Location 225 miles N of Noumea, New Caledonia
Movement 235° (SW) at 7 knots
Maximum sustained winds 70 knots gusting to 85 knots
Comparative strength HURRICANE
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 75 to 155 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 25 to 45 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses New Caledonia
Maximum significant wave height 22 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Cook will move southwest, later southeast. The storm is intensifying rapidly, and could peak at 95 knots. This will coincide with its passage across New Caledonia. After this, Cook will become extra-tropical.

Regional warnings
Meteo France (New Caledonia) (in French) advises that Cyclonic Alert n° 1 is now in force for the islands' province, the Nord province and the communities of Thio and Bourail. The Pre-Alert remains in force for the rest of New Caledonia. Please note that at midday local time (Monday 10th April), these alerts will be extended and, in places augmented to Alert 2. It is imperative to check the above link for details.

Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT
System 96S
Position 8.0S 132.9E
Location 295 miles NNE of Darwin, Australia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now HIGH

Australian warnings
A tropical cyclone watch is in force from Croker Island to Cape Fourcroy, including the Tiwi Islands. 

No comments: