20 June 2017 - bulletin 327

Updated at 1125 GMT
Latest warnings for 02L and 03L


NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Bret / 02L
Warning 07 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 10.6N 62.9W
Location 75 miles ESE of Isla Margarita, Venezuela
Movement 290° (WNW) at 18 knots
Maximum sustained winds 35 knots gusting to 45 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 125 miles of the centre
Minimum central pressure: 1008 mbar
Threatened landmasses Windward Islands, ABC Islands, Venezuela, Colombia
Next warning from NHC at 1200 GMT

Bret is headed west along the north coast of Venezuela. Adverse atmospheric conditions will prompt a weakening trend, leading to dissipation north of Colombia.

Regional warnings
A tropical storm WARNING is in force for the east coast of Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita.
A tropical storm watch is in force for Aruba, Bonaire and Curacoa

Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches can be expected over the Windward Islands and northeastern Venezuela.

Potential Tropical Cyclone 03L
Warning 03 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 24.8N 90.1W
Location 345 miles SSE of Morgan City, Louisiana
Movement 315° (NW) at 7 knots
Maximum sustained winds 35 knots gusting to 45 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 205 miles to the east of the centre
Minimum central pressure: 1000 mbar
Threatened landmasses Louisiana, Texas
Next warning from NHC at 1200 GMT

03L is moving north through the Gulf of Mexico. The system will likely become a subtropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 40 knots before making landfall along the Gulf coast of the southern USA.

The likelihood of this system becoming an actual tropical cyclone within the 48 hours and 5 days timeframes is HIGH (80%)

Regional warnings
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Morgan, Louisiana, to the mouth of the Pearl River.

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from west of Cameron to High Island, Texas

Rainfall totals of 4 to 8, locally up to 10, inches can be expected in southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi and Alabama, and the western Florida Panhandle. Totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated locally up to 6 inches can be expected farther west across southwest Louisiana into southeast Texas.

Inundations of 1 to 3 feet can occur as a result of storm surge in the warning area.

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