1 August 2017 - bulletin 441

Updated at 0915 GMT
Latest warnings for 06L, 10E and 07W
First warning for 13W
Disturbance update



NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Emily / 06L
Warning 06 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 28.3N 80.1W
Location 50 miles NNE of Vero Beach, Florida
Movement 065° (ENE) at 10 knots
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots gusting to 35 knots
Minimum central pressure: 1011 mbar
Threatened landmasses Florida
Next warning from NHC at 0300 GMT

Emily has reemerged over the open waters of the Atlantic, and will move away eastnortheast. The system may strengthen a little, before becoming extra-tropical. 

Regional warnings
Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches, locally up to 4 inches, across southeast Florida

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Irwin / 10E
Warning 40 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 24.9N 128.8W
Location 1200 miles W of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico
Movement 335° (NNW) at 11 knots
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots gusting to 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 35 miles of the centre
Minimum central pressure: 1007 mbar
Threatened landmasses NONE
Next warning from NHC at 1500 GMT

Irwin is moving north and will gradually weaken. The system will likely lose tropical cyclone status within a day or so.

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN

TYPHOON Noru / 07W
Warning 47 from JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 24.0N 137.7E
Location 202 miles WSW of Iwo To
Movement 305° (NW) at 7 knots
Maximum sustained winds 100 knots gusting to 125 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 120 to 140 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 35 to 40 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Japan
Maximum significant wave height 46 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 1500 GMT

Noru is moving northwest and has weakened a little. The storm's intensity will fluctuate between 85 and 100 knots over the next 5 days, as it approaches southwestern Japan.

Tropical depression 13W
Warning 02 from JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 26.1N 163.1E
Location 452 miles NNW of Wake Island
Movement 130° (SE) at 8 knots
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots gusting to 35 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum significant wave height 10 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 1500 GMT

13W formed earlier today and will veer round onto a northnorthwesterly course. The system will intensify to 45 knots before becoming extra-tropical.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT
System 91E
Position 9.8N 92.2W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (20%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 5 days is MEDIUM (40%) 
 
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0300 GMT
System 97W is now 13W

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