29 January 2018 - bulletin 78

Updated at 1140 GMT
Latest warnings for 07S and 08P
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Cebile / 07S
Warning 10 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 15.3S 81.7E
Location 731 miles SE of Diego Garcia
Movement 220° (SW) at 6 knots
Maximum sustained winds 110 knots gusting to 135 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 90 to 125 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 25 to 35 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Maximum significant wave height 29 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Cebile is moving southwest and will maintain current strength for a day or so. whilst intensifying. After that, the storm will start to weaken as it veers southeast.

Tropical cyclone Fehi / 08P
Warning 06 from JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 20.4S 163.0E
Location 201 miles WNW of Noumea, New Caledonia
Movement 150° (SE) at 11 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 55 to 155 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses New Caledonia
Maximum significant wave height 20 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 1500 GMT

Fehi will move southeast , before veering south. The storm will weaken before turning extra-tropical to the northwest of New Zealand.

New Caledonian warnings
An ORANGE alert is in force for New Caledonia.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0130 GMT
System 90S
Position 19.5S 123.4ELocation 112 miles SE of Broome, Australia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW 

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