17 March 2018 - bulletin 199

Updated at 1450 GMT
Latest warnings for 14S and 15S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Eliakim / 14S
Warning 11 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 16.5S 49.2E
Location 422 miles NW of St Denis, La Reunion
Movement 200° (SSW) at 4 knots
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots gusting to 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 120 to 130 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Madagascar
Maximum significant wave height N/A
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Eliakim is moving south inland over Madagascar. The storm will reemerge over water and veer southsoutheast. The system will then restrengthen and become extra-tropical.

Tropical cyclone Marcus / 15S
Warning 08 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 13.5S 129.3E
Location 111 miles WSW of Darwin, Australia
Movement 235° (SW) at 8 knots
Maximum sustained winds 50 knots gusting to 65 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 50 to 65 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Australia
Maximum significant wave height 18 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Marcus will move westsouthwest, gradually veering west. The system will skirt the northwestern coast of Australia before moving into the southern Indian Ocean and intensify to at least 125 knots after 4 days. By that time, the cyclone will veer towards the south and starts to weaken.

Australian warnings
A tropical cyclone WARNING is in force from Daly River Mouth to Cockatoo Island, NOT including Kununurra.
A tropical cyclone watch applies from Cockatoo Island to Beagle Bay, NOT including Derby.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 96W
Position 7.3N 156.3E
Location 115 miles W of Pohnpei
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is HIGH

No comments: