18 March 2018 - bulletin 202

Updated at 1515 GMT
Latest warnings for 14S and 15S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Eliakim / 14S
Warning 15 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 20.1S 49.5E
Location 327 miles W of St Denis, La Reunion
Movement 180° (S) at 9 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 60 to 130 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Madagascar
Maximum significant wave height 18 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Eliakim is veering southsoutheast. The system will restrengthen to 55 knots before becoming extra-tropical.

Tropical cyclone Marcus / 15S
Warning 12 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 15.0S 125.3E
Location 249 miles NE of Broome, Australia
Movement 250° (SW) at 13 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 50 to 75 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Australia
Maximum significant wave height N/A
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Marcus will move westsouthwest, gradually veering west. The system will skirt the northwestern coast of Australia before moving into the southern Indian Ocean and intensify to at least 120 knots after 4 days. By that time, the cyclone will veer towards the south and starts to weaken.

Australian warnings
A tropical cyclone WARNING is in force from Mitchell Plateau to Beagle Bay, NOT including Derby.
A RED ALERT is in force between Kalumburu and Mitchell Plateau, excluding Kalumburu
A Yellow Alert is in force between Mitchell Plateau and Cockatoo Island, excluding Mitchell Plateau
A blue alert is in force between Cockatoo Island and Beagle Bay, excluding Derby and Cockatoo Island

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1430 GMT
System 96W
Position 6.8N 156.4E
Location 108 miles W of Pohnpei
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now MEDIUM

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