19 March 2018 - bulletin 204

Updated at 0945 GMT
Latest warnings for 14S and 15S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Eliakim / 14S
Warning 18 from JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 23.5S 50.0E
Location 345 miles WSW of St Denis, La Reunion
Movement 170° (S) at 13 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 135 to 250 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Madagascar
Maximum significant wave height 22 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 1500 GMT

Eliakim is veering southsoutheast. The system will restrengthen to 50 knots before becoming extra-tropical.

Tropical cyclone Marcus / 15S
Warning 15 from JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 15.5S 122.6E
Location 146 miles N of Broome, Australia
Movement 250° (WSW) at 8 knots
Maximum sustained winds 75 knots gusting to 90 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 70 to 100 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 15 to 20 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Australia
Maximum significant wave height 26 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 1500 GMT

Marcus will move west into the open Indian Ocean. A rapid intensification is expected to commence soon, leading to a peak strength of 130 knots in two days' time. The cyclone will then veer towards the south and starts to weaken.

Australian warnings
A tropical cyclone WARNING is in force from Beagle Bay to Cockatoo Island

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 96W
Position 9.8N 153.8E
Location 200 miles NE of Chuuk
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is MEDIUM

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