17 August 2024 - bulletin 485

Issued at 0940 GMT
Latest warnings for 05L and 08W
Disturbance update

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
TYPHOON Ampil / 08W
Warning 20 from JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 37.2N 145.0E
Location 281 miles E of Yokosuka, Japan
Movement 050° (NE) at 11 knots
Maximum sustained winds 90 knots gusting to 110 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 100 to 130 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 25 to 45 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 954 mbar
Maximum significant wave height 36 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 1500 GMT

NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
HURRICANE Ernesto / 05L
Warning 23 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 32.3N 64.8W
Location Over Bermuda
Movement 020° (NNE) at 118 knots
Maximum sustained winds 75 knots gusting to 90 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 240 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 70 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Bermuda, Nova Scotia, Newfoundland
Minimum central pressure 972 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 1200 GMT

Regional warnings

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT
System 90S
Position 6.2S 73.4E
Location 54 miles NE of Diego Garcia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is HIGH

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN

Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 98W
Position 25.1N 122.3E
Location 42 miles E of Taipei, Taiwan
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT
System 99E
Position 12.1N 105.2W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is MEDIUM (40%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (80%)

System No Invest Assigned
Position 12N 125W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (10%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (70%)

System No Invest Assigned
Position 12N 136W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (20%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is LOW (20%)

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