17 August 2024 - bulletin 486

Issued at 1500 GMT
Latest warnings for 05L and 08W
Disturbance update

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
TYPHOON Ampil / 08W
Warning 21 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 37.8N 147.3E
Location 396 miles ENE of Yokosuka, Japan
Movement 070° (ENE) at 19 knots
Maximum sustained winds 85 knots gusting to 105 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 110 to 170 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 45 to 90 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 959 mbar
Maximum significant wave height 44 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
HURRICANE Ernesto / 05L
Warning 24 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 32.9N 64.8W
Location 50 miles NNE of Bermuda
Movement 025° (NNE) at 8 knots
Maximum sustained winds 70 knots gusting to 85 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 240 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 70 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Bermuda, Nova Scotia, Newfoundland
Minimum central pressure 974 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 1800 GMT

Regional warnings

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT
System 90S
Position 6.2S 73.4E
Location 54 miles NE of Diego Garcia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is HIGH

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN

Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 98W
Position 25.1N 122.3E
Location 42 miles E of Taipei, Taiwan
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1200 GMT
System 99E
Position 12.9N 106.3W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is MEDIUM (60%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (90%)

System No Invest Assigned
Position 13N 126W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (10%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (70%)

System No Invest Assigned
Position 13N 138W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (20%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is LOW (20%)

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