1 August 2024 - bulletin 441

Issued at 1030 GMT
Latest warning for 03E
Disturbance update

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Carlotta / 03E
Warning 04 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 17.0N 109.0W
Location 395 miles WSW of Manzanillo, Mexico
Movement 300° (WNW) at 10 knots
Maximum sustained winds 50 knots gusting to 65 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 60 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 997 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 1500 GMT

Mexican warnings

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT
System No Invest Assigned
Position 18N 68W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (10%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is MEDIUM (60%)

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT
System 95E
Position 13.5N 124.2W
Minimum central pressure 1009 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (20%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is LOW (20%)

System No Invest Assigned
Position 8N 92W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (20%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (80%)

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