22 October 2014 - bulletin 684


Updates this bulletin
Latest warnings for 02C and 09L
Disturbance updates

Time of posting: Approximately 1010 GMT



CENTRAL PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Ana / 02C
Warning 35 from CPHC at 0900 GMT
Position 22.4N 167.1W
Location 115 miles SSW of French Frigate Shoals, Hawaii
Movement 315° (NW) at 8 knots
Maximum sustained winds 35 knots gusting to 45 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 125 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument, Hawaii
Next warning from CPHC at 1200 GMT

Ana is moving northwest and is now expected to reintensify as it veers north through the western part of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument.  As the storm veers northeast beyond that, it will start to undergo extra-tropical transitioning.

Regional warnings
A tropical storm WARNING is in force for parts of the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihao to LIsianski

Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches are possible over the northwestern Hawaiian islands near the centre of the storm.


NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Tropical depression 09L
Warning 02 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 19.4N 92.3W
Location 120 miles WSW of Campeche, Mexico
Movement 090° (E) at 5 knots
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots gusting to 40 knots
Threatened landmasses Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico
Next warning from NHC at 1200 GMT

09L has formed over the western Bay of Campeche, and will move east. The system will intensify to 45 knots before making landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula. It is not certain that it will survive the passage overland, and even if it does, adverse conditions east of Yucatan will prevent restrengthening.

Regional warnings
A tropical storm WARNING is in force from Celestun to Frontera
Rainfall totals of 5 to 10, locally up to 15, inches could trigger life-threatening flash-floods.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT
System 92L
Position 33.5N 29.0W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (10%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 5 days is LOW (10%)

System 93L is now 09L