24 January 2019 - bulletin 48

Updated at 0945 GMT
Latest warning for 11S
Disturbance update


SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone Riley / 11S
Warning 03 from JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 17.1S 120.1E
Location 461 miles NE of Learmonth, Australia
Movement 260° (W) at 7 knots
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots gusting to 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 60 to 105 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Western Australia
Maximum significant wave height 15 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 1500 GMT

Riley will track westsouthwest. The storm will intensify to 75 knots over the next 4 days.

Australian warnings
A tropical cyclone watch is in force from Whim Creek to Onslow, including Karratha and Dampier

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
SOUTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 95P
Position 12.2S 140.3E
Location 205 miles E of Gove Airport, Australia
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation is MEDIUM

Australian warnings 
A tropical cyclone watch is in force from Mornington Island to Mapoon, including Weipa, Burketown, Normanton and Kowanyama.

SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 2200 GMT
System 93S
Position 21.9S 40.8E
Location 186 miles WNW of Tollara, Madagascar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now MEDIUM