28 July 2014 - bulletin 453

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Updates this bulletin
Warning 10 for 08E
Warning 01 for 11W
Disturbance updates for 90W, 96W, 91C, 07E, 93L and 93E

Time of posting: Approximately 1515 GMT

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NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression 11W
Warning 01 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 12.0N 149.8E
Location 304 miles ESE of Andersen AFB, Guam
Movement 285° (WNW) at 11 knots
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots gusting to 35 knots
Threatened landmasses Northern Marianas islands
Maximum significant wave height 10 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

11W has formed and will move westnorthwest through the Marianas whilst intensifying steadily.

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Hernan / 08E
Warning 10 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 20.5N 115.9W
Location 420 miles WSW of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
Movement 305° (WNW) at 14 knots
Maximum sustained winds 55 knots gusting to 70 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 60 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Next warning from NHC at 2100 GMT

Hernan continues to move northwest and is on a weakening trend as the cyclone veers westnorthwest, later west.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1500 GMT
System 96W
Position 18.6N 133.4E
Location 550 miles SE of Kadena AB, Japan
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation in the next 24 hours is MEDIUM

System 90W is now 11W

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT
System 93E
Position 14.7N 133.8W
Location 1400 miles SE of the Big Island, Hawaii
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours is LOW (10%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation in the next 5 days is LOW (10%)

CENTRAL PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from CPHC at 1200 GMT
System 91C
Position 9.5N 161.4W
Location 860 miles S of Honolulu, Hawaii
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours is MEDIUM (30%)

System 07E
Position 12.9N 145.6W
Location 780 miles SE of Hilo, Hawaii
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours is MEDIUM (30%)

NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT
System 93L
Position 10.3N 31.2W
Location 550 miles SW of the Cape Verde Islands
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours is MEDIUM (30%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation in the next 5 days is HIGH (70%)