15 August 2020 - bulletin 514

Updated at 1530 GMT
Latest warning for 10E, 11L and 12L
Disturbance update


NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Josephine / 11L

Warning 16 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 19.1N 60.2W
Location 200 miles ENE of the northern Leeward Islands
Movement 290° (WNW) at 14 knots
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots gusting to 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 80 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands
Minimum central pressure 1008 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 2100 GMT

Josephine is moving westnorthwest. After peaking at 45 knots tomorrow, the system will slowly weaken again as it veers towards the north.

Regional warnings
Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches can be expected over the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico; minor flooding is possible in Puerto Rico.

Tropical storm Kyle / 12L
Warning 04 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 39.0N 65.6W
Location 360 miles ESE of Providence, Rhode Island
Movement 070° (ENE) at 18 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 80 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 1000 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 2100 GMT

Kyle will move eastnortheast. The storm will strengthen to 50 knots, before becoming extra-tropical.

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN

Tropical depression 10E
Warning 10 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 13.2N 133.7W
Location 1695 miles WSW of the southern tip of Baja California
Movement 260° (W) at 2 knots
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots gusting to 40 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 1004 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 2100 GMT

10E will move slowly west with no appreciable change in strength.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1200 GMT
System 93E
Position 22.2N 114.1W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (20%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 5 days is LOW (20%)

System 94E
Position 15.7N 118.0W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is HIGH (80%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 5 days is HIGH (80%)

System 95E
Position 9.7N 90.2W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is HIGH (80%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 5 days is HIGH (90%)

NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1300 GMT
System 97B is no longer suspect for tropical cyclone formation

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN

Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT
System 97W
Position 8.5N 173.2E
Location 322 miles E of Kwajalein Atoll
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is MEDIUM