2 August 2024 - bulletin 444

Issued at 1510 GMT
Latest warning for 03E
First warning for 04L
Disturbance update

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
HURRICANE Carlotta / 03E
Warning 09 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 18.6N 115.2W
Location 455 miles SW of the southern tip of Baja California
Movement 285° (WNW) at 10 knots
Maximum sustained winds 70 knots gusting to 85 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 80 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 10 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 983 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 2100 GMT

Mexican warnings

NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Potential tropical cyclone 04L
Warning 01 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 20.9N 76.6W
Location 420 miles SE of Key West, Florida
Movement 290° (WNW) at 14 knots
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots gusting to 35 knots
Threatened landmasses Florida, Georgia, Carolinas
Minimum central pressure 1012 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 1800 GMT

Regional warnings

Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is HIGH (70%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (90%)

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1500 GMT
System 97L is now 04L

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT
System 95E
Position 12.8N 128.1W
Minimum central pressure 1008 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (20%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is LOW (20%)

System No Invest Assigned
Position 10N 96W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is MEDIUM (40%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (90%)

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