22 September 2025 - bulletin 631

Issued at 1640 GMT
Latest warnings for 07L, 14E, 24W and 25W
Disturbance update

NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
HURRICANE Gabrielle / 07L 
Warning 21 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 30.8N 62.3W
Location 180 miles SE of Bermuda
Movement 010° (N) at 9 knots
Maximum sustained winds 105 knots gusting to 130 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 140 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 25 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Bermuda, Azores 
Minimum central pressure 955 mbar 
Next warning from NHC at 1500 GMT

Bermuda and USA warnings

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Narda / 14E

Warning 04 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 15.7N 102.9W
Location 245 miles SSE of Manzanillo, Mexico
Movement 285° (WNW) at 11 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 70 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Mexico
Minimum central pressure 1000 mbar 
Next warning from NHC at 2100 GMT

Mexican warnings

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
SUPERTYPHOON Ragasa / 24W 
Philippines name Nando
Warning 17 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 19.4N 120.5E
Location 289 miles N of Manila, Philippines
Movement 275° (W) at 11 knots
Maximum sustained winds 140 knots gusting to 170 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 160 to 210 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 50 to 70 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Philippines, China
Minimum central pressure 926 mbar 
Maximum significant wave height 48 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

Philippines warnings
Hong Kong warnings

TYPHOON Neoguri / 25W 

Warning 17 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 30.3N 152.6E
Location 379 miles NNW of Minami Tori Shima
Movement 080° (E) at 7 knots
Maximum sustained winds 90 knots gusting to 110 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 105 to 120 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 30 to 50 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 950 mbar 
Maximum significant wave height 32 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1200 GMT 
System No Invest Assigned 
Position 14N 41W 
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (20%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (70%)

System No Invest Assigned 
Position 16N 55W 
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (10%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is MEDIUM (40%)

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT 
System 92W 
Position 10.4N 139.2E 
Location 82 miles NE of Yap 
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW

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