16 July 2026 - bulletin 461

Issued at 1030 GMT
Latest warning for 05E
Disturbance update

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EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Elida / 05E 
Warning 07 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 15.6N 116.5W 
Location 660 miles SW of the southern tip of Baja California
Movement 275° (W) at 10 knots
Maximum sustained winds 50 knots gusting to 65 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 125 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 997 mbar 
Next warning from NHC at 1500 GMT

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT 
System No Invest Assigned 
Position 30N 80W 
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is NIL
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is LOW (20%)

System No Invest Assigned 
Position 11N 21W 
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW (10%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is LOW (10%)

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT 
System No Invest Assigned 
Position 15N 115W 
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is NIL
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (80%)

CENTRAL PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from CPHC at 0600 GMT 
System 90C
Position 12.8N 165.0W 
Minimum central pressure 1008 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is MEDIUM (50%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is MEDIUM (50%)

System 91C is no longer suspect for tropical cyclone formation

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN 
Update from JTWC at 0600 GMT 
System 90W
Position 3.6N 152.6E
Location 320 miles S of Chuuk
Minimum central pressure 1008 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW

System 91W
Position 25.0N 150.9E
Location 320 miles S of Chuuk
Minimum central pressure 1002 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is LOW