27 September 2026 - bulletin 686

Issued at 2145 GMT
Latest warnings for 06L, 15E, 17E, 18E and 25W
Final warning for 16E
Disturbance update


NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Tropical depression Fay / 06L
Warning 31 from NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 28.9N 44.0W
Location 1160 miles WSW of the Azores
Movement 180° (S) at 4 knots
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots gusting to 40 knots
Minimum central pressure 1011 mbar
Threatened landmasses NONE
Next warning from NHC at 0300 GMT

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Post-tropical cyclone Odalys / 16E
Warning 32 from NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 22.8N 123.1W
Location 840 miles W of the southern tip of Baja California
Movement 020° (NNE) at 5 knots
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots gusting to 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 90 miles of the centre
Minimum central pressure 1000 mbar
Threatened landmasses NONE
FINAL WARNING

HURRICANE Polo / 17E

Warning 29 from NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 21.3N 114.1W
Location 230 miles SSW of Cabo San Lazaro, Mexico
Movement 355° (N) at 10 knots
Maximum sustained winds 110 knots gusting to 135 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 105 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 45 miles of the centre
Minimum central pressure 951 mbar
Threatened landmasses Mexico (Baja California)
Next warning from NHC at 0000 GMT

Mexican warnings

Tropical storm Rachel / 18E
Warning 03 from NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 12.6N 99.1W
Location 560 miles SE of Manzanillo, Mexico
Movement 295° (WNW) at 4 knots
Maximum sustained winds 35 knots gusting to 45 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 70 miles of the centre
Minimum central pressure 1005 mbar
Threatened landmasses Mexico
Next warning from NHC at 0300 GMT

Mexican warnings

CENTRAL PACIFIC OCEAN

HURRICANE Nolo / 15E
Warning 29 from CPHC at 2100 GMT
Position 16.2N 159.3W
Location 700 miles SE of French Frigate Shoals, Hawaii
Movement 280° (W) at 10 knots
Maximum sustained winds 100 knots gusting to 125 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 150 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 35 miles of the centre
Minimum central pressure 966 mbar
Threatened landmasses Hawaii
Next warning from NHC at 0000 GMT

Hawaiian warnings

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
SUPERTYPHOON Surigae / 25W
Warning 19 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 26.3N 130.0W
Location 119 miles E of Kadena AB, Okinawa
Movement 065° (ENE) at 9 knots
Maximum sustained winds 130 knots gusting to 160 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 60 to 85 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 15 to 20 miles of the centre
Minimum central pressure 929 mbar
Threatened landmasses Ryuku Islands
Maximum significant wave height 45 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1200 GMT 
System 91L
Position 34.4N 56.1W
Minimum central pressure 1013 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is MEDIUM (50%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is MEDIUM (60%)

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1800 GMT 
System No Invest Assigned
Position 12N 139W 
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is MEDIUM (50%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (80%)

NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1800 GMT
System 92W
Position 14.4N 98.0E 
Location 117 miles SE of Yangon, Myanmar
Minimum central pressure 1003 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is now HIGH


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