1 October 2024 - bulletin 621

Issued at 2150 GMT
Latest warnings for 12L, 19W and 20W
First warnings for 11E and 01S
Disturbance update

NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
HURRICANE Kirk / 12L
Warning 09 from NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 16.2N 40.1W
Location 1070 miles W of the Cabo Verde Islands
Movement 305° (NW) at 10 knots
Maximum sustained winds 65 knots gusting to 80 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 195 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 30 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 986 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 0300 GMT

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN

Tropical depression 11E
Warning 01 from NHC at 2100 GMT
Position 15.1N 94.6W
Location 85 miles SSE of Salina Cruz, Mexico
Movement 360° (N) at 4 knots
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots gusting to 40 knots
Threatened landmasses Mexico
Minimum central pressure 1006 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 0000 GMT

Regional warnings

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Jebi / 19W
Warning 22 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 39.1N 145.3E
Location 205 miles ESE of Misawa, Japan
Movement 035° (NE) at 27 knots
Maximum sustained winds 60 knots gusting to 75 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 30 to 90 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Japan, Kurill Islands
Minimum central pressure 981 mbar
Maximum significant wave height 30 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

TYPHOON Krathon / 20W
Philippines name Julian
Warning 19 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 21.5N 119.2E
Location 250 miles SSW of Taipei, Taiwan
Movement 335° (NNW) at 2 knots
Maximum sustained winds 105 knots gusting to 130 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 85 to 140 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 35 to 50 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Philippines, Taiwan
Minimum central pressure 950 mbar
Maximum significant wave height 40 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

Philippines warnings

SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Tropical cyclone 01S
Warning 01 from JTWC at 2100 GMT
Position 9.9S 76.1E
Location 205 miles ESE of Diego Garcia
Movement 255° (WSW) at 4 knots
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots gusting to 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 0 to 135 miles to the south of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 998 mbar
Maximum significant wave height 14 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 0300 GMT

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1800 GMT
System 91L
Position 10.6N 25.9W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is HIGH (90%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (90%)

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 2100 GMT
System 96E is now 11E
Position 14.3N 95.4W

System 97E
Position 13.8N 98.7W
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is MEDIUM (50%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (80%)

SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 2100 GMT
System 91S is now 01S

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