7 October 2024 - bulletin 638

Issued at 1500 GMT
Latest warnings for 13L, 14L and 21W
Final warning for 12L
Disturbance update

NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Post-tropical cyclone Kirk / 12L
Warning 33 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 41.7N 38.4W
Location 655 miles WNW of the Azores
Movement 045° (NE) at 25 knots
Maximum sustained winds 65 knots gusting to 80 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 310 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 90 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Azores, Spain, France
Minimum central pressure 963 mbar
FINAL WARNING

Regional warnings

HURRICANE Leslie / 13L
Warning 21 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 16.4N 41.2W
Location 1120 miles W of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands
Movement 315° (NW) at 11 knots
Maximum sustained winds 75 knots gusting to 90 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 105 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 15 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 985 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 2100 GMT

HURRICANE Milton / 14L
Warning 09 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 22.4N 93.8W
Location 165 miles WNW of Progreso, Mexico
Movement 115° (EsE) at 7 knots
Maximum sustained winds 110 knots gusting to 135 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 80 miles of the centre
Winds of 64 knots or higher occur within 35 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses Yucatan, Florida
Minimum central pressure 945 mbar
Next warning from NHC at 1800 GMT

Regional warnings

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm 21W
Warning 06 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 23.2N 147.2W
Location 337 miles ESE of Iwo To
Movement 025° (NNE) at 16 knots
Maximum sustained winds 35 knots gusting to 45 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 35 to 65 miles to the east of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 1003 mbar
Maximum significant wave height 19 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

TROPICAL DISTRBANCE UPDATE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 0600 GMT
System 99E
Position 17.1N 104.3W
Minimum central pressure 1008 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is HIGH (70%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (70%)

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