16 September 2025 - bulletin 612

Issued at 1000 GMT
Latest warning for 13E
First warning for 23W
Disturbance update
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Mario / 13E 
Warning 15 from NHC at 0900 GMT
Position 21.9N 115.7W
Location 375 miles W of the southern tip of Baja California
Movement 310° (NW) at 10 knots
Maximum sustained winds 45 knots gusting to 55 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 45 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 1000 mbar 
Next warning from NHC at 1500 GMT

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression 23W 
Warning 01 from JTWC at 0900 GMT
Position 15.5N 123.5E
Location 155 miles ENE of Manila, Philippines
Movement 315° (NW) at 13 knots
Maximum sustained winds 25 knots gusting to 35 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 1008 mbar 
Maximum significant wave height 12 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 1500 GMT

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1800 GMT 
System 92L
Position 12.3N 39.8W 
Minimum central pressure 1010 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is HIGH (80%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (90%)

System No Invest Assinged
Position 12N 17W 
Minimum central pressure 1010 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is NIL
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is LOW (20%)

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1200 GMT
System 98W is no longer suspect for tropical cyclone formation

System 90W
Position 15.0N 137.5E 
Location 333 miles N of Yap
Minimum central pressure 1009 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW

System 99W is now 23W

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1200 GMT
System 96E
Position 11.6N 103.2W 
Minimum central pressure 1008 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is MEDIUM (50%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (80%)

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