16 September 2025 - bulletin 613

Issued at 1600 GMT
Latest warning for 13E and 23W
Disturbance update
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical storm Mario / 13E 
Warning 16 from NHC at 1500 GMT
Position 22.7N 117.2W
Location 465 miles W of the southern tip of Baja California
Movement 310° (NW) at 11 knots
Maximum sustained winds 40 knots gusting to 50 knots
Winds of 34 knots or higher occur within 45 miles of the centre
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 1004 mbar 
Next warning from NHC at 2100 GMT

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Tropical depression 23W 
Warning 02 from JTWC at 1500 GMT
Position 15.9N 122.9E
Location 135 miles NE of Manila, Philippines
Movement 305° (NW) at 7 knots
Maximum sustained winds 30 knots gusting to 40 knots
Threatened landmasses NONE
Minimum central pressure 1006 mbar 
Maximum significant wave height 13 feet
Next warning from JTWC at 2100 GMT

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE UPDATE
NORTHERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1200 GMT 
System 92L
Position 13.4N 41.5W 
Minimum central pressure 1007 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is HIGH (90%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (90%)

System No Invest Assinged
Position 12N 18W 
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is NIL
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is LOW (20%)

NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from JTWC at 1000 GMT
System 90W
Position 15.0N 137.5E 
Location 333 miles N of Yap
Minimum central pressure 1009 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 24 hours is LOW

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN
Update from NHC at 1200 GMT
System 96E
Position 11.3N 103.1W 
Minimum central pressure 1008 mbar
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours is MEDIUM (60%)
Likelihood of tropical cyclone formation within 7 days is HIGH (80%)

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